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Research Atlas

Bayesian Statistics

Uncertainty Explorer

Bootstrap the rainfall-streamflow regression and watch the honest prediction interval emerge from an ensemble of resampled fits.

Monthly rainfall (mm)Streamflow (m³/s)

Each thin teal line is one regression fit to a bootstrap resample of the same 22 data points — resampling with replacement simulates "what if we'd collected slightly different data by chance?" The gold band is the spread of predictions across the ensemble at each rainfall value: your honest uncertainty, not a single overconfident line.